Discover how biased expectations theory impacts interest rates by incorporating investor preferences and risks, beyond just future rate predictions.

In a blog post published on January 16, economists Benjamin Böninghausen and Andreea Liliana Vladu look to disaggregate the ...

There’s nothing I’d rather do to celebrate my 47th birthday than write about the yield curve. 🙂 While the Fed’s rate moves—cuts or hikes—often explain the curve’s shifts, the yield curve itself has ...

The yield curve has long been a closely watched indicator of economic health. When the yield curve inverts, meaning short-term interest rates exceed long-term rates, it is often seen as a harbinger of ...

I still remember back in 2006, when the curve inverted ahead of the financial crisis. Hardly anyone outside of bankers, economists, hardcore investors and bond traders knew what it meant. But by 2008, ...

Forbes contributors publish independent expert analyses and insights. I write about investment strategies to build generational wealth. A quietly steepening European yield curve signals opportunity ...

Yields on shorter-term Treasurys were rising on Monday relative to what rates on longer-term maturities were doing — translating into a bear flattening of the yield curve, which is often negative for ...

Analysts at Truist Securities initiated coverage on 24 large-cap, regional, and trust banks, as well as credit card companies. They anticipate strong earnings growth over the next two years, ...

Explore Treasury yield forecasts: 3‑month bills likely 1%–2%, curve inversion odds, negative-rate risk, and default dangers ...