Physicians tend to excel in science and math, so it's a bit surprising that, in a new study, nearly 8 in 10 ― 78% ― committed a gaffe called the conjunction fallacy. Researchers asked doctors to ...

Please provide your email address to receive an email when new articles are posted on . In a recent survey study, nearly 80% of physicians overestimated the probability of successful patient outcomes ...

Animals, like humans, appear to be troubled by a Linda problem. The famous “Linda problem” was designed by psychologists to illustrate how people fall prey to what is known as the conjunction fallacy: ...

Physicians frequently overestimate the probability that a diagnosis or intervention would be helpful. Are they overly optimistic? Are the cynical correct in assuming that optimism hides a conflict of ...