Recession fears have cooled, but a labor market chart flagged by one bearish strategist might give bullish investors pause.

If the Sahm Rule Recession Indicator holds, Edwards’ warning appears justified. But the rule is not infallible. After earning ...

Is the US labor market in the calm before the storm? Economists say the Beveridge curve is the signal to watch.

Where does the time go? Americans may continue to ponder this question endlessly but today there is an answer: compared to the pre-economically troubled days of 2007 we spend more time watching TV, ...

Is a recession on the horizon? This video analyzes the yield curve and its historical accuracy in predicting economic ...

Despite bullish sentiment around AI and Fed rate cuts, I see mounting economic weakness that could broaden out and weigh on the market. Key recession signals include the Leading Economic Index, ...

It was a well-publicized fact of the recession that black and Hispanic populations suffered disproportionally high rates of unemployment compared to white people. The chart above, courtesy of the ...

Yield curve inversions have historically preceded recessions, but not all inversions guarantee a downturn; context and economic conditions matter. Watching long-term/short-term yield patterns after an ...

As fears of a slowing economy lurk in the background, some businesses are taking notice and bringing back so-called recession specials. Look up the term “recession specials” through Google’s search ...