Weekly Treasury Simulation, January 9, 2026: 50,000 No-Arbitrage Heath-Jarrow-Morton Yield Scenarios
Explore Treasury yield forecasts: 3‑month bills likely 1%–2%, curve inversion odds, negative-rate risk, and default dangers ...
The 10-year Treasury yield fell, and Morgan Stanley continued to believe 4% represents the floor given the growth tailwinds still to come in 2026.
U.S. Treasury bills (T-bills) are sold at auction, typically at a discount from their par value. The maturity length and the ...
Treasury yield simulations project 3‑month bills at 1%–2% in 10 years; curves show widening risk premiums, inversion odds and ...
Colin is an Associate Editor focused on tech and financial news. He has more than three years of experience editing, proofreading, and fact-checking content on current financial events and politics.
The yield on the 10-year Treasury note was rising Monday morning, but remained slightly below its 50-day moving average as investors awaited data on U.S. manufacturing. "Treasury yields are back in ...
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Treasury yields were mostly down in 2025
1445 ET – Resilient demand for U.S. government debt pressured down Treasury yields this year. For 2026, interest rate cuts by the Fed are expected to weigh down on the short-term yields, while ...
U.S. Treasury yields were flat to slightly lower in early trading Thursday after a divided Federal Reserve cut rates for a third time this year. The Fed also outlined plans to buy $40 billion in ...
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Treasury yields start Friday slightly higher
0938 ET – The Treasury market was off to a calm start Friday, with yields ticking slightly higher. Rates worldwide moved up after a hike from the Bank of Japan increased yen interest rates to ...
Banks are stalling the Clarity Act to prevent stablecoin holders from earning 3-5% yields, fearing trillions in deposit ...
Recently, President Trump, apparently in jest, threatened to fire Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent if he didn’t get lower interest rates. Although the context of the President’s remarks was his ...
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